The leaders of the
Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People’s Republic of China met, for the
first time since 1949, in Singapore this past Saturday, November 7th.
In
a huge breakthrough for cross-strait relations, Taiwanese President Ma Ying-jeo
and Chinese President Xi Jinping met at Singapore’s Shangri-La hotel to discuss
the future of cross-strait relations. The meeting began with a historic two
minute handshake, followed by a brief five minute opening statement from either
sides; the two leaders then proceeded to a closed-door meeting, where they
spoke for one hour.
Based on
the two press conferences that were held by either side following themeeting,
it seems that there were no true major breakthroughs during the meeting, but
rather just a reassurance of agreements that had already been made prior. Zhang
Zhijun, head of the Taiwan Affairs Office, gave a 20 minute speech detailing
Xi’s – an effectively the PRC’s – view on the “Taiwan Issue”. He reiterated the
PRC’s strong stance against “separatism” and their firm belief in the “One
China” policy under the 1992 Consensus, though strategically omitting the
“Differing Interpretations” part.
Taiwan’s
Ma, on the other hand, gave a brief summary of the meeting and spent most of
the time opening up the floor to questions from reporters. When asked what
specifics were brought up during the meeting, Ma stated that he had strongly
asserted Xi that Taiwan would hold up to the 1992 Consensus, but explicitly
emphasizing the “Differing Interpretations” aspect, and that there would be no
Taiwan-independence or “Two-Chinas” because it is not permitted under the
Constitution of the Republic of China. He also brought up the many concerns of
the Taiwanese people, such as the 1500 missiles pointed towards the island, to
which Xi responded that it was not “solely against Taiwan”.
In
essence, this meeting did not achieve much substantially, as no major
agreements were reached, but it did serve as a symbolic first step towards a
new era of cross-strait relationships and negotiations. Mainland China agreed,
for example, to set up “hotlines” across the strait for future governmental
meetings, as well as being open to Taiwan’s entry to international trade pacts,
such as China’s own AIIB (Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank,) through
“proper methods”. It reassures Taiwan on the Mainland’s commitment in
cooperating and respecting the island nation. It also allows Taiwan’s current
ruling party, the Kuomintang (KMT) to gain a much needed leverage against the
opposition parties in the upcoming presidential elections, as it proves to the
people that the KMT is capable of maintaining a sustainable, peaceful, yet
still advantageous relationship with the Mainland. As for the PRC, this meeting
allows them to offer the carrot to the Taiwanese people while subtly reminding
them of the stick, especially for the pro-independence Democratic Progressive
Party (DPP) that is expected to take power next year following the elections.
However,
this meeting is also a gamble for both the ROC and the PRC; while the meeting
was generally well perceived in Taiwan, it also faced protests amongst certain
groups of people, especially the youth, who view the meeting as the “selling of
Taiwan to China”. The effect of this meeting could thus backfire and cause even
more voters to alienate the KMT and opt for the DPP come January. If the KMT
were to lose, then the PRC’s plan would also backfire, as they would then have
to deal with a new Taiwanese government that is skeptical of the Mainland.
Whatever the
results, however, it does not change the fact that this historic meeting will
be of great significance to the future development of both sides of the strait.
As to how positive of an effect it will have, only time will tell.
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